Ecliptic Alerts

Signals from a mechanical system

Every afternoon, after the US market closes, Ecliptic Alerts sends the buy and sell signals generated by a fixed-rule system for US stocks and ETFs. The signals are the same for every subscriber. If you decide to replicate them, you can enter them in your own broker in about ten minutes.

  • Ten minutes each evening
  • No need to watch the market
  • Each subscriber trades their own account

Request access · first month free See a sample alert

The first month is free, no card required. Afterwards, US$ 99 a month or US$ 899 a year (launch price until Dec 31, 2026).

How it works

  1. The system applies its rules at the close. Every trading day, after the US market closes, it reviews US stocks and ETFs and determines what to buy and what to sell. There is no discretionary intervention at any stage.
  2. The alert arrives by email and/or Telegram. It is normally sent within three hours of the close. On days without signals it is sent as well, to confirm that there are no orders to enter.
    Sample alertIllustrative example · not current · not a recommendation
    TickerHow muchStrategy
    SellMSFT100% of the positionTailwind
    BuyAAPL3.2% of capitalUndertow
    BuyXLE2.8% of capitalHarbor
    The personal page converts the percentages into a number of shares according to each subscriber's capital. This is the format of the alert sent every afternoon.
  3. The orders are entered in the subscriber's broker. They are entered as market orders for the next open; the process takes about ten minutes. The execution price is not exactly the one in the alert: it is the opening price.
  4. The orders are executed at the open. There is no need to follow the market during the day. If one day you do not get to enter them, the signals keep arriving just the same, and you resume with the next day's list. A sell that was not entered does not appear again; the position remains in your account (see the FAQ).

The page can be viewed exactly as a subscriber sees it, with sample data: see a sample day.

One portfolio, two ways to follow it

The same six stock and ETF strategies. The difference is whether the two satellite blocks are added. Both charts use the same scale, so they can be compared at a glance.

Core

Six stock and ETF strategies, in equal parts.

CORE 100%

2022–2025 · $100 becomes $208

+20.2%per year
−12.9%maximum drawdown
US$ 25,000minimum capital

Core + satellites

The same, plus bitcoin miners and leveraged Nasdaq.

CORE 70%SATACCEL

2022–2025 · $100 becomes $273

+28.8%per year
−20.3%maximum drawdown
US$ 30,000minimum capital

Live results · since August 2026

Both portfolios, since August 2026

Core

— max drawdown — (updated —)

Core + satellites

— max drawdown — (updated —)

See every closed trade, one by one →

Both figures come from the same account. They are the same real trades, at the same entry and exit prices; the only difference is how much capital each block receives — under “core + satellites” the core works with 70% of the capital, and under “core” with 100%. The core figure is not a second account, nor a new simulation. Real result of an account that follows the same signals that are published, measured from the July 31, 2026 close. Daily-chained return, on actual execution prices —broker commissions are not deducted—, with open positions valued at the latest close; deposits and withdrawals do not count as performance. Unaudited. It is not a subscriber's account: each subscriber's result will differ (opening price and slippage, time of execution, rounding, capital, signals not entered). The first three sessions (July) are shown under "What happens in a bad streak". This is a short period. Ecliptic Alerts publishes the result every month, whether positive or negative.

Backtest (simulated)

It shows how these rules would have traded in the past, with estimated commissions and slippage. It is not the result of any real account.

What do CAGR, max drawdown and MAR ratio mean?
CAGR How much it would have returned per year, on average, over that period (simulated, with costs deducted). It is not the return of each year: there were years of −5% and of +58%. It must always be read together with the max drawdown next to it.
Max drawdown The worst decline from a peak to the following trough. It is the decline that had to be tolerated to obtain the stated return; returning to the previous peak took up to 13 months. More in the note What is a drawdown.
MAR ratio Annual return divided by the max drawdown: 1.42 means 1.42% of annual return (simulated) for every 1% of decline. It is useful for comparing periods; it says nothing about the future.

Full portfolio (simulated) · 2022–2025

28.8%CAGR
−20.3%Max drawdown
1.42MAR ratio
69%Positive months
Year2022202320242025
Portfolio−5%+58% +34%+36%

Why the window is shorter. The bitcoin-miner satellite only has history since 2021, so the full portfolio can only be measured from 2022, a very favorable period for crypto assets, which is reflected in 2023 and 2025. Its weight is 15%: 70% is the core, with ten years of its own, and the remaining 15% is the Nasdaq accelerator, measured in backtest since 2010.

The window starts in 2022: the miners have prices only from 2021, and it was a favourable period for crypto.

Core (simulated) · 70% of the portfolio · 2016–2025

Six equal-weighted strategies on stocks and ETFs. It is the block with the long track record and the one that defines the risk profile of the whole.

17.8%CAGR
−16.1%Max drawdown
1.11MAR ratio
10/10Positive years (simulated; 2018: +0.5%)
Year1617181920 2122232425
Core+14+14+0.5 +19+20+31 +2+24+32 +26

Simulated annual returns 2016–2025, net of estimated commissions and slippage. Includes 2018 and 2022, the two worst recent years for the market: the core ended essentially flat in both.

Stock block only: six strategies, equally weighted.

Both, over the same years · 2022–2025

The same as above, row by row and over the same period: 2022–2025.

CoreWith satellites
Annual return+20.2%+28.8%
Maximum drawdown−12.9%−20.3%
Return ÷ drawdown (MAR)1.561.42
Sharpe1.271.36
Annual volatility13.2%17.9%
Average drawdown, all days−2.6%−4.1%
Days more than 5% below the peak20%34%
Days more than 10% below the peak1%7%
Days more than 15% below the peak0%4%
Drawdowns deeper than 10% per year0.250.75
Positive months71%69%
Worst year+1.7%−5.0%
Positive years4 of 43 of 4
Worst of the portfolios that started (3 months)−12.9%−19.8%
Indicative capitalUS$ 25,000US$ 30,000

In grey, the better of the two in each row. Simulated results on historical data, with estimated commissions and slippage.

2026 · January to July (simulated)

Through July the satellite was out of the market the whole time: its regime filter kept it in cash. From August onward the result is live and is published above, under “Live results · since August 2026”.

Core

+22.5%January to July
JanFebMarAprMayJunJul
+5.1+6.9−4.2+5.9+5.2+6.1−3.7

Core + satellites

+17.9%January to July
JanFebMarAprMayJunJul
+4.0+3.5−4.9+8.0+8.3+3.4−4.8

January to May are computed with the backtest database, reviewed internally; June and July with the same daily prices the live system uses. Simulated: not the result of any real account.

The crypto satellite was in cash the whole period.

Month by month

Both portfolios, month by month. Through July 2026 the figures are simulated (full portfolio since 2022; core since 2016); from August 2026 the marked cells are the LIVE result of the real account, unaudited. 2026 carries * because the year is not over. All months are shown, including the negative ones. Each portfolio's live cumulative figure is shown above, under “Live results · since August 2026”.

Core + satellites · simulated since 2022 · live from August 2026

Core · simulated since 2016 · live from August 2026

Through July 2026: simulated (backtest) results, net of estimated commissions and slippage, using the same daily prices the live system uses; not the result of any real account. From August 2026 (marked cells): the real result of an account following the same signals, unaudited. Past results, simulated or real, do not guarantee future results.

Simulated results. Backtested results are computed by applying rules defined in advance to historical data and include assumptions for commissions and slippage. They have inherent limitations: they do not represent actual trading, are prepared with the benefit of hindsight, may not reflect the impact of market factors such as lack of liquidity, and do not account for the effect of real losses on a trader's decisions. No representation is made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Past performance, simulated or real, is not indicative of future results. Ecliptic Alerts does not provide investment advice and is not registered with the CNV, the SEC or any other regulator.

Inside: structure, strategies and methodology

Three blocks with different engines: core 70% (six strategies on stocks and ETFs: four mean-reversion, held ≈ 1 week; two trend-following, ≈ 5 months), satellite 15% (bitcoin miners, only in a bullish crypto regime; otherwise cash) and accelerator 15% (leveraged Nasdaq, only while the index is above its long-term average). Cash purchases only: no margin, no shorts; the leverage belongs to the instrument, not to the subscriber's account. When volatility rises, the system reduces position sizes by rule; in bear markets part of the portfolio is held in cash. Weekly rebalancing between blocks. Out-of-sample backtest, survivorship-free universes (51% of the tickers no longer trade today), commissions and slippage deducted, signal at the close and execution at the next open.

Portfolio structure

Three blocks with different engines, designed to behave differently across market regimes.

Core 70% Satellite 15% Accelerator 15%
Core70% · six strategies Stocks and ETFs. Four short-term mean-reversion strategies and two long-term trend-following strategies: complementary profiles that support each other.
Satellite15% · bitcoin miners Equal-weighted basket with volatility control. Correlation of 0.27 with the core. Trades only in a bullish crypto regime; in a bearish regime it goes to cash by rule.
Accelerator15% · leveraged Nasdaq A leveraged Nasdaq ETF, only while the index is above its long-term moving average. The leverage belongs to the instrument: no margin and no short positions.
Reserveno fixed weight Uses the cash the other blocks leave idle, only in bear markets. Two or three trades a year.

Weekly rebalancing between blocks. It requires no action from the subscriber: it is reflected in the size of new orders.

The strategies

Holding period and trade frequency determine the operational workload.

StrategyLogicHoldingTrades/yr
BallastReserve · Nasdaq Short-term Nasdaq rebounds, only in bear markets. days2–3
CometSatellite · miners Bitcoin-miner basket with volatility control, under a regime filter. by regimefew
CompassCore · S&P 500 Trend following: enters on a confirmed bullish reversal and follows the trend. ≈ 5 months~10
HarborCore · defensive ETFs Mean reversion on defensive ETFs. ≈ 1 week~35
SummitCore · Russell 3000 Long-term momentum detection: enters when the stock confirms strength and exits when it loses it. ≈ 5 months~10
TailwindCore · Nasdaq 100 Momentum pullback: the same logic, restricted to the strongest stocks. ≈ 1 week~80
ThrustAccelerator · Nasdaq Leveraged Nasdaq while the index is in an uptrend. by trendfew
TideCore · sector ETFs Mean reversion on sector ETFs. The highest-turnover strategy. ≈ 1 week~110
UndertowCore · S&P 500 Mean reversion: enters on short-term oversold conditions and exits on the bounce. ≈ 1 week~150
Each strategy measured on its own (backtest, simulated)

Core 2016–2025; satellites 2022–2025. Simulated results, net of estimated costs; not from any real account. The combined core has a better MAR ratio (1.11) than any of its six strategies: diversification across different logics is the source of the risk profile.

StrategyCAGRMax drawdownMAR
Compass23.0%−34.3%0.67
Harbor5.7%−12.1%0.47
Summit25.1%−33.7%0.74
Tailwind17.5%−17.0%1.03
Tide9.2%−14.2%0.65
Undertow17.8%−26.3%0.68
Combined core17.8% −16.1%1.11
Comet 4 years56%−52%1.08
Thrust 4 years28%−44%0.64

Backtest methodology

  • Out of sample. Rules were set on 2016–2020 data and validated on 2021–2025, years that were not used in their design; the figures shown cover all ten years.
  • No survivorship bias. Point-in-time universes: they include the companies that went bankrupt or were delisted. 51% of the tickers in those universes no longer trade today (measured against the official list of US-listed securities; it includes bankruptcies, acquisitions, mergers and name changes).
  • Commissions and slippage. Transaction costs deducted, and orders that the volume would not have allowed to execute discarded.
  • No look-ahead. The signal is computed with the close and executed at the next open: the same sequence a subscriber follows when replicating the signals.
  • Long-only, no margin. Cash purchases and sales only. No account leverage and no short positions.

What happens in a bad streak

There will be one: it is part of the normal operation of the system. In the backtest (simulated) the worst month was −8.7% —the same figure in both options— and the max drawdown −20% with satellites · −16% core only —each over its own history: the core has ten measured years and the full portfolio four; over those same four years the core fell −12.9%, which is the figure in the comparison table—; the longest stretch without a new high lasted about 13 months in both options (from January 2022 with satellites · from October 2018 for the core only). More in the note What is a drawdown.

It happened once. It is the only stretch longer than a year in the core's ten years and in the full portfolio's four; the second longest was nine months for the core and six and a half with satellites. And the core falls less deep —−16% against −20%— but when the bad stretch comes it lasts just as long: choosing it buys less depth, not less waiting.

The live max drawdown since August is shown under "Live results · since August 2026", above, and is updated every night without adjustment. Before the published period, in the first three sessions (July), a −6.0% decline was recorded.

What the system does: exactly what it does in any other period. It follows the rules. When volatility rises, it reduces position sizes by rule; in bear markets part of the portfolio is held in cash. No one adjusts trades manually, in favorable or unfavorable periods. If a rule changes, it is announced (Terms, section 13).

What a subscriber experiences: the temptation to stop right after a decline. It is the most common way to lose money with a rules-based system: abandoning it at the worst moment.

What Ecliptic Alerts asks: that you decide, before starting, how much capital you can see 20% —16% for the core only— down, or more, without abandoning the system. That amount, and no more, is the capital to allocate to Ecliptic Alerts.

Who it is for, and who it is not for

It may be for you if…

  • You have a broker with direct access to US stocks
  • You can enter the orders on most evenings (ten minutes)
  • You can tolerate a 20% —16% for the core only— decline without abandoning
  • You prefer keeping fixed rules for years over changing method after every negative month
  • You have around US$ 30,000 —US$ 25,000 for the core only— to replicate the portfolio (indicative)
  • You execute in your own account

It is not for you if…

  • You only trade through local depositary receipts or a broker without direct access to the US market
  • You prefer to review the portfolio once a month
  • You would abandon it after a decline of that size
  • You are looking for a system that wins every month
  • It is money you will need in the short term
  • You want someone else to manage your money

Risks

The drawdown —20% with satellites · 16% core only— is part of the system, not an anomaly. The worst month of the backtest (simulated) was −8.7%. A system is abandoned at the worst moment: if a decline of that order leads to abandoning it, the expected result is negative.

The crypto satellite has only one market cycle of history. That is why its weight is limited to 15% and it goes to cash by rule in a bearish regime. This does not apply to anyone following the core only: that option has neither the miners block nor the leveraged one.

Trading stocks and ETFs involves risk of loss: you can lose a significant part of the capital traded and, in extreme cases, all of it. Purchases are cash-only, with no margin and no short positions, so the maximum loss is the capital allocated to the system, which can be lost in full. Ecliptic Alerts is not registered as an investment adviser with the CNV, the SEC or any other regulator, and does not know your situation.

A backtest is not a promise of performance. It is a measurement of how these rules would have traded in the past, with estimated costs. What can be checked is the discipline: signals published before the open and a live result updated every night; fixed rules, defined in advance, no discretion. Past results, simulated or real, do not guarantee future results.

Requirements

An accountwith your own broker Any broker with direct access to US stocks and ETFs (for example Interactive Brokers or Schwab/thinkorswim). If you open an account through those links, Ecliptic Alerts receives compensation from the broker. Local depositary receipts of foreign stocks and local brokers without direct access are not suitable (note: local broker or an account abroad). The subscriber executes in their own account; Ecliptic Alerts has no access to it.
Ten minutesin the evening Signals arrive after the close; if you decide to replicate them, the orders are entered before the next open, as market orders. On most trading days there is at least one signal.
Around US$ 30,000with satellitesUS$ 25,000core only · indicative It is the capital with which the portfolio can be replicated in whole shares: it is spread across about thirty positions. With less capital, many purchases do not reach a whole share and the result diverges from the system. It is not a recommendation on how much to invest.

Important information before starting

The system does not try to avoid every loss. It can go through negative periods and declines of 20% —16% for the core only— or more, as it already did in the backtest.

If a decline of that size would make you abandon the strategy, Ecliptic Alerts is probably not for you.

30-day trial

  • All the signals, every afternoon
  • Personal page, with the quantities for your capital
  • Email and Telegram
  • No credit card
  • Cancel at any time, with one button

If you do not choose a plan when the trial ends, nothing is charged: the signals are paused, including the sell signals for any positions you hold (Terms, section 6.4).

After the trial: US$ 99 a month or US$ 899 a year, taxes included (launch price of the yearly plan for anyone who signs up by December 31, 2026; renewal is at the plan’s then-current price, today US$ 990, announced 30 days in advance with the amount). The subscription renews automatically at the end of each period until you cancel. No minimum commitment: it can be cancelled at any time and does not renew; on a paid plan the signals continue until the end of the period already paid for and are then paused, including sell signals; the positions remain in the subscriber's account.

Request access

Frequently asked questions

Which broker does it work with?
Any broker that trades US stocks and ETFs in dollars with direct market access: Interactive Brokers, Schwab/thinkorswim and similar. If you open an account through those links, Ecliptic Alerts receives compensation from the broker. It does not work with local depositary receipts of foreign stocks or with local brokers that do not provide direct access. More in the note local broker or an account abroad.
Which countries can subscribe?
The United States, Canada, Argentina and the other Latin American countries listed in section 4 of the Terms (Mexico, Chile, Colombia, Peru, Uruguay, Paraguay, Bolivia, Ecuador, Costa Rica, Panama, the Dominican Republic, Guatemala, El Salvador, Honduras, Nicaragua and Venezuela). For now the Service is not offered to residents of other countries; in particular, not to residents of the United Kingdom, the European Economic Area (Spain included), Australia or India, for regulatory reasons. Requests and payments from non-admitted countries are declined automatically. What is the same in every admitted country: you need a broker with direct access to the US market, and checking that you may receive this information and trade these instruments where you live is each subscriber's responsibility, as are your taxes; Ecliptic Alerts does not provide tax advice.
When does the alert arrive?
Normally between 7:30 pm and 8:00 pm Argentina time (UTC−3), Monday to Friday, within three hours of the regular market close. No alerts are sent on weekends or US market holidays.
What happens if the orders are not entered one day?
The next day's signals reach you just the same. A sell that was not entered does not appear again: the position remains in your account and closing it is your decision; a buy that was not entered is not recovered (when its corresponding sell arrives, it can be disregarded). The result diverges slightly from the system's; this is expected and is part of trading in your own account.
Can I start at any time?
Yes. The first alert is an entry list with the system's current long-term positions, scaled to each subscriber. The short-term strategies are added with subsequent signals.
Does Ecliptic Alerts know my capital?
No. The signals arrive as a percentage of capital and the personal page computes the quantities in the subscriber's browser; the figure never leaves your browser.
Is this financial advice?
No. It is information about the signals of a mechanical system, the same for everyone. Ecliptic Alerts does not know your situation. Each person decides and executes on their own.
What is a market-on-open order?
An order that fills at the market's opening price (9:30 am, New York time). It is the order type the system uses, and the reason the reference price in the alert differs from the actual execution price. That difference is expected. More in the note Market orders at the open and slippage.
Can the subscription be cancelled?
Yes, at any time, with one button. The positions remain in the subscriber's account.

See all the questions →

Request access

Leave your name, your email and how you want to receive the alerts. We approve each request by hand: we are few, and we prefer that each person knows what they are getting into before the first list arrives. We write from alerts@eclipticalerts.com within 24/48 business hours.

You can change it later from your own page.

We don't need to know how much capital you trade: signals arrive as a percentage of capital and your page computes the share counts. If you choose Telegram, it connects with one button. We onboard up to 10 new people a month, because each onboarding is done by a person: if the month is full, we let you know and you start the next one. Available to residents of: the United States, Canada, Argentina and Latin America (full list in the Terms, section 4).

Ecliptic Alerts publishes the signals of a mechanical trading system. It is information, not financial advice or a personalized recommendation: we do not know your situation and we do not trade for you. Ecliptic Alerts is not registered as an investment adviser with the SEC, the CNV or any other regulator. Backtest results are simulated; the "Live" block is real and updated every night. Past results, simulated or real, do not guarantee future results. You can lose part or all of the capital you trade. Available only to residents of the admitted countries listed in section 4 of the Terms (United States, Canada, Argentina and other Latin American countries). Not available to residents of the United Kingdom, the European Economic Area, Australia or India. Notes · FAQ · Terms · Privacy · Risk notice · alerts@eclipticalerts.com (we reply within 3 working days) @eclipticalerts t.me/eclipticalerts
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